Apr
12
the big bet
Nick Laurrell asked:


When playing No Limit Texas Hold’em nothing makes cards shrink more than a big river bet. Especially in a tournament, what was once a very respectable two pair can become a nasty headache when your opponent bets big on the river. Here are some tips for dealing with bets on the river.

Know your Opponent: The single most important thing that you ever do at the poker table is watch other people play. How often they bet, how often they call, how often they re-raise, how they use table position and anything else you care to take note of. From this general framework, you can begin to figure out what poker cards a particular player is likely to be holding. Generally speaking players fall into one of four categories: tight-aggressive (they don’t play many hands but when they do play, they play for a lot of money), tight-passive (they don’t play many hands and they rarely raise - basically you should be taking money from a tight-passive player with ease), loose-aggressive (they play a lot of hands and they play them strong) and loose-passive (they play a lot of hands but seldom make any substantial bets.) There have been oodles of articles and books written about exactly how to classify poker players so I’ll stop with those very rudimentary ones - suffice it to say that without a basic idea of how your opponent plays then you might as well buy lottery tickets because the only way you’re winning is if you get lucky.

Work Backwards: After your opponent has made a big river bet, you should review all of the betting that has occurred in the hand. Rather than go from pre-flop betting to the river, work backwards from the river to pre-flop. Let’s say that the board reads 4H 6H JS AS JC with the Ace of Spades being the turn card and the Jack of Clubs being the river. Your opponent is a tight-aggressive player who has about $10,000 in chips, the same amount as you. We’ll call him Stud. The pot is $6000 and Stud has gone all-in. You have A 5 of Clubs, giving you top pair and a couple of Jacks to go with them. The bet is for all of your chips and your tournament life.

1. River Bet, board reads 4H 6H JS AS JC: So we already know that a tight-aggressive player named Stud has moved all-in which just about puts you all in. What could Stud make that kind of a bet with? The board reads 4H 6H JS AS JC so he could have the nuts, quad Jacks or a full house and Stud just wants to get as many chips into the pot as possible. Maybe, probably not though. Generally whenever a player has the nuts (best hand possible) they make a value bet or a bet that they want you to call. It could definitely be a stone-cold bluff on a broken draw. Maybe he’s got something like 5-7 and had a straight draw that didn’t come true. He could have two hearts, something like 10H QH, maybe even JH QH which would give him a set of Jacks. He’s an aggressive player so he could make a bluff, especially on a paired board with 2 bad draws (it’s a paired board because there are two Jacks, and there are two bad draws because on the flop both a straight draw and a flush draw were possible but never came to fruition.) The guy could really have anything.

2. Turn Bet, board reads 4H 6H JS AS: So moving from the river bet backwards, we now look at what he did on the turn. We know that Stud could have anything from a bold-faced lie to quads - let’s see if his turn bet says anything. On the turn, Stud bet $800 and you (having picked up a pair of Aces) raised to $2500. But Stud called, and he called rather quickly. So he has to have something that he would just call an additional $1700 rather than go over the top right then and there. A quick call, or a call that a player doesn’t take much time to think about, usually means the player is on the draw and is anxious to see the next card. Usually. Of course players with the Nuts can do just about anything, even tight players. Judging from his turn bet, your astute re-raise and his quick call, it sure looks like he’s on the draw. Just to be sure though, let’s look at the flop betting.

3. Flop Bet, board reads 4H 6H JS: Interestingly, Stud checked on the flop. Almost any time that a tight-aggressive player is in a pot he is likely to bet or raise, unless he has been forced into the pot as a blind. But from the overbet on the river (an overbet is a bet that is bigger than the size of the pot) and the quick call on the turn, we’re loosely putting him on a broken flush draw. Wouldn’t an aggressive player bet on a draw on the flop? As a matter of fact, an aggressive player would almost always bet on a flush or straight draw. You didn’t have anything on the flop so you had followed his check with a check of your own. Now you’re perplexed. What hand could a tight-aggressive player check on the flop with, call a re-raise on the turn, then go all-in with on the river? Is it possible that Stud does have the nuts? Let’s look at what happened before the flop ever hit.

4. Pre-Flop Bet, blinds $50/$100: You were on the button and the table had folded around to you. You took a peak at AC 5C and decided to call the big blind rather than to get fussy with a suited Ace-baby (Ace-baby refers to a hand with an Ace and a small card like a 2 or a 3 or, in this case, a 5.) Stud was the big blind and raised to $500. You figured that a suited Ace and position was worth taking a look at the flop with so you had called. But what could Stud have raised with out of position like that? Maybe a pocket pair, maybe a big Ace like AK or AQ. He is a tight player so he probably has one of those. But if he had a pocket pair why wouldn’t he make a continuation bet on the flop (a continuation bet is a bet that you make with any two cards on the flop following a bet you’ve made pre-flop. It is a continuation of the momentum of your first bet.)

Build it back up: Now we take all of the backwards analysis and put it together.

*He raised pre-flop.

Maybe he has something like pocket fours, sixes or Jacks which would explain the pre-flop raise. He could have AK or AQ. He probably isn’t bluffing because he’s a tight player.

*He checked the flop.

A tight-aggressive player would usually make a continuation bet on the flop, especially if they were first to act. Either Stud was conceding the pot on the flop or he had flopped something huge like a set or even a nut flush draw on AH KH. Rather than bet out at that flop, maybe he figured that he would trap or maybe even check-raise. But you followed with a check.

*He bet the turn and quickly called your re-raise.

The turn came an Ace which gave you top pair. But Stud made an $800 bet which was about 80% of the $1050 pot (small blind plus pre-flop bet and call of $500.) Not a big bet into a pot like that. When you came over the top he probably figured that you didn’t have a flush or straight draw because if you did have a draw, you would have probably bet the flop. Especially because you called the pre-flop bet, he probably figured that you had a pair of Aces.

*He went all-in on the river

We are pretty sure that ole’ Stud is not bluffing after being on the draw because he didn’t bet the flop. So maybe the quick call was just an act to throw you off. After all, the overbet on the river reeks of a broken flush draw at first glance, which is exactly what Stud would want you to think if he was pretending to be on the draw with that quick call. Which makes sense taking into account his pre-flop raise followed by that check on the flop.

Now that we’ve looked at the hand backwards and forwards, Stud could very easily have a full house, maybe even quads and at least has AK or AQ of Hearts, all of which beat your A5. You should probably fold.

The importance of a basic read on your opponent cannot be overstated. At multiple points throughout that process we had to intermingle what Stud actually did with what we expected him to do. The differences and overlaps between our expectations and his actions are what paint the picture of the hand and (should) shape your major decisions. While it may seem like methodical overkill to go backwards through a hand then re-build it, when you look at a hand from the river backwards you are giving yourself a different perspective from which to analyze it, and this other perspective can be worth a lot of money.



the big bet
Eric Smith asked:


If you look for a betting life that offers relaxation, then this point chasing staking plan is not for you. You need to possess a large bank to make the most out of this staking plan. This plan follows a simple concept. You aim to make point profit as soon as any selection wins. If a horse makes off after 4/1 in the initial race, then quarter of 4/1 is put to stake on further races. It means the winning of a horse results in point profits.

It is good if every selection results in a winner. The benefit this point chasing plan has is you need to be sure of having winner at reasonable rate. However, before you proceed with Point Chasing plan, it is advisable that you own a big betting bank particularly with minimum 200 bets. 

Another type of staking plan is the level stakes: This is a simple staking plan for horse racing betting. It works by dividing total sum of funds into numerous stakes. The sum is then staked onto every bet right from its current status to eternity.

For instance, suppose you begin with £1,000 and decide the bank has to cover around 200 bets followed by dividing 200 into £1,000. This means you bet £5 on a race for ever more.  

Due to simplicity of this staking plan, you are able to fix the sum that you wish to stake once. As for the thousand bets that follow, same amount is placed by you on each bet. If you own reasonable bets in your bank, there are fewer chances of getting financially ruined. However, this plan has some restrictions. It does not allow for maximising returns from your betting. 

If you are new to horse racing betting, then a staking plan as this one is better to consider. Even after you watch horse racing live where people invest money on horses or read newspapers about any such event, you still lack information.



Apr
11
the big bet
David Lowes asked:


Today I’d like to share with you five of the biggest gambling mistakes made by the average gambler. Las Vegas casinos make an absolute fortune from people making these common mistakes year after year. If you’d like to win more often, and lose less often, then it is recommended that you follow some of these basic tips.

Discover how to become a good player using time tested proven casino strategies. In the rare case that these strategies result in no wins, they will at least result in your losses being minimized.

Five Of The Biggest Gambling Mistakes You Should Never Make

Casinos are very deceptive businesses that use clever strategies to ensure they generate massive profits every single year. Is it possible to turn a profit in an industry that was designed to take winnings away from players? Although winning money at a casino is not easy, it is often possible. I’d like to shed light on five common gambling mistakes that cause players to maximize their losses. Avoid these mistakes and you automatically increase your chances of winning by a large percentage.

5 Big Betting Errors

Most players enter a casino and hope to win a lot of money in a short period of time. They become so obsessed with winning that their focus becomes impaired, they become stressed, and start making some bad betting decisions. You cannot win at gambling if you do not have a secure betting plan. To reduce your chances of losing money, you should avoid the following 5 betting mistakes.

The First Mistake: Betting without first setting a budget

Before getting in your car and driving over to the nearest casino, decide on a set bank roll, and don’t take any more with you. Never take your key card or credit card with you in case you might use it. If you don’t manage to win any money, and you use up your entire bank roll, quickly pack up your belongings and go home. If you allow yourself to become emotionally involved, you will quickly find yourself in a dark place, and without any money.

The Second Mistake: Not understanding the game

Any game that you choose at the casino should be a game that you know well, and a game that you entirely understand. If you feel comfortable on a game, then you will stand a bigger chance of winning. It’s extremely difficult to win at something you don’t understand, or have little experience with.

Speaking from my own personal experience, your aim should be to uncover every gambling tip and every strategy, regarding any gambling game, you want to become great at, or that you want to win at.

The Third Mistake: Not focusing and losing your judgment

Casinos seem to encourage their customers and guests to purchase alcohol, and consume all other kinds of drinks. If that weren’t enough to distract players from their game, and impair their judgment, they also feature live music bands, which are both noisy and distracting. The biggest problem with alcohol, besides it impairing your judgment, is that it causes some people to become very emotional. A player who is extremely emotional will quickly lose their cool, especially if they experience a couple of difficult challenges. Impairing your judgment and increasing your emotional involvement will drain your bank roll very quickly, and very effectively.

The Fourth Mistake: Playing the wrong casino games

If you want a greater chance of winning, choose games that offer relatively high pay outs, and that rely mostly on skill. If you just want to have fun, and play a game that is easy to understand, then slot machines are a very popular option. However, if you’d like to play a game in which you have some control over the outcome, then I recommend playing either blackjack or poker. Not all casino games are exactly the same. Research which games offer the highest payouts, and best chances of winning, then start practicing, and mastering those games.

You have no chance of winning any money until you master a game. Mastering a game involves hours of practice, a strong understanding of the games rules, and a commitment to understanding a few important winning strategies.

The Fifth Mistake: Selecting and playing at the wrong casino

No all casinos offer the same features. For example, some online casinos offer players a $500 welcome bonus just for registering a player’s account. If Texas holdem poker is the game you most want to play, then research is definitely recommended as some online casinos do not offer Texas holdem poker. Research is the key to finding the best deal.



Apr
06
the big bet
Black Smith asked:


Blinds otherwise called forced bets are quite common in holdem games. Before the cards are ever dealt small and big bets are obligatory investments by the player clockwise to the dealer.

With having already invested some chips from being in the position of blinds, it can be kind of tricky to decide to let your money go to elsewhere. And people often make the mistake of being behind their forced bets. It is quite important to play wise rather than calling and making a raise because you have made the forced bet.

There is also a common confusion between the blinds and the ante. Ante is an obligatory participation fee kind thing that is followed by a bring in; however, what makes ante different form small blind and big blind is that, every participant player need to ante, whereas the small blind and big blind is placed by the 2 player left to the dealer respectively.

• The small blind is usually half of the big blind

• Big blind is twice the small blind and in most stances happens to be minimum bet of each round.

Why is a blind better than an ante? The reason behind preferring a blind against an ante is that pot becomes too big for a starter bet in an ante, but with blinds it is comparatively small and comfortable causing a good start in having more players betting and not minding to pay the extra price to see if their hand can improve despite holding medium hands!

Small blind position is advantages! This is because you already donate half the true bet amount and you have the concession to see your cards for a less price than others. However, you should not be behind your small blind money and play wrong hands.

Big blind position is better! With having donated the money in the pot in full to the lowest betting, you can decide on a call after seeing how the rest of the table behaves and how your starting hands turn out to be. All bet raises are made in multiples of big blinds.

Some interesting information about blind in poker is:-

• Unless there is going to be a blind in poker every player is going to wait for an Ace or a better card to, big blind and small blind catalyzes the rounds to start up.

• Since with every round the big blind and small blind position is going to rotate between players, there is truly nothing wrong or unfair with forced bets or a blind in poker by any means.

• Being a blind gives you the advantage of concealing your hand. People may think that you are trying to save your blind rather than you having a best hand unless you make it very obvious.

• With being the last of all to act the blind in poker is an advantageous position; however big blind has more advantage than the small blind in this sense.



the big bet
Robert asked:


le assumed that the internet would revolutionise the way we bet, just like the way it has revolutionised many other things in life. However, recent prevalence studies have proved that the number of people betting online is still not as popular as other forms of betting such as phone betting, going down the bookmaker and being at the track. So for those who haven’t quite worked out the benefits of wagering online instead of these alternatives, here 10 good reasons why you should be:

1) Free bets: Due to the amount of competition online, betting companies like to encourage you to join their service in the hope you form some sort of brand loyalty. To entice you they will regularly offer a free bet. This is normally in the form of a matched bet (You put in a certain amount and they will match that amount.) and will allow you to double your money, if not more. Around big betting events like the World Series and the Kentucky Derby these free bets usually quadruple, making them a very attractive incentive. When was the last time you walked into the betting shop and the lady behind the counter said; “Here, have $10 on us”. Most likely never!

2) Compare odds: There are many websites online that allow you compare odds on all sorts of bets from all manor of betting events. You will be amazed at how much odds can very from one bookmaker to another, and by using online odds comparison tools you can seek out the best odds. This kind of information is only available online, but is free to use. If you are sat in the bookmakers all day you will only get the odds available from that specific shop, which may be much shorter than they are elsewhere.

3) Special offers: Something that seems to becoming more and more popular online is special offers such as “money back specials”. This is something an online betting site will offer in advance of a sporting event to gain interest from bettors. This could be something like, if your horse falls or if your team loses on penalties you will get your stake back. This is something you will rarely see offered in a bookmaker on the high street or over a telephone bet.

4) Other betting options: If you know anything about betting then you will have heard of betting exchanges and spread betting companies. These new betting sectors have largely formed due to the popularity of the internet, allowing all sorts of betting variables, with the final result being just one of them. Although these fairly recent betting options have caused controversy in the industry and in certain sports, there is no denying that they are extremely popular and are here to stay.

5) Increased markets: Most bookies tend to offer the popular betting markets, such as horse racing, football, basketball, baseball. With online betting there are a huge selection of bets to choose from including foreign sports betting, political betting, novelty betting and much more. For example some betting websites will allow you to bet on something like the 2nd division of the German Handball league or Gaelic football matches in Ireland. To be able to bet on sports and events that don’t even occur in this country was unheard of until the internet made it possible. This can be hugely beneficial to bettors who follow all sorts of obscure leagues, sports or events.

6) Access to information: It doesn’t take a genius to work out that you can obtain all sorts of facts, figures, statistics, historical data from the internet. This can be accessed very quickly at little or no cost. It doesn’t matter how good the form guide writer is in your favourite paper, its never going to compete with the amount of data that is available online. There are all manor of forums, blogs and reports that can be easily accessed to assist you with your betting options.

7) Comfort: Why would you drag yourself all the way down to the bookmakers(that might be miles away), when you can relax in the comfort of your own home and make your bets. Bookmakers tend to be dreary places with Formica chairs, lacklustre decor and normally a bunch of sorry faces all around. It makes much more sense to put the kettle on, open up your browser and check out the bets of the day.

8) Speed: Provided you have a reliable broadband connection, online betting is instant. No standing in line or possibly missing the start of the race or game. You merely need to locate your bet, select your options and place your stake. This can all be done in the time it takes your to write down your selection on your betting slip. Some may feel that phone betting is just as quick, but you normally have to wait 5 to 20 seconds to connect to a representative. Why wait, when you don’t have to?

9) Access from anywhere: Provided it is legal to bet in the jurisdiction you are in, then there is no reason why you can’t place a bet from anywhere in the world, provided you have a connection to the internet. You can transfer money, place bets, check your account wherever you are and whatever time, day or night. Most high street bookmakers close, early evening, with the odd few staying open late. The same goes for several telephone betting services, and just imagine the bill from your hotel when you have called in half a dozen bets.

10) In-race betting: there is new technology starting to become more and more available online that allows you to bet in running or throughout a game. This is highly sophisticated stuff that is changing the way we can bet quite dramatically. There is no way in the world that this could be made possible in betting shops or even on the telephone.

For some; going down the bookmakers is so habitual it is impossible to change, but for others it should now be clear that the advantages are clear. Increase your chances of winning more bets, play online!

the big bet
Anthony Fontanelle asked:


Detroit’s Big Three has placed big bets at the recently held New York International Auto Show (NYIAS). This is done to boost its standing in the automotive realm. And the Big Three is starting the change in the Big Apple.

In the said auto show, the Chrysler Group has unveiled its redesigned 2008 Jeep Liberty which comes as a top selling compact SUV. The Ford Motor Co. has also introduced its new Flex vehicle which is a large crossover SUV replacing its minivan. And General Motors Corp. unraveled Buick Super series and concept minicars to reach out to the generation Y.

New York offers a huge potential auto market and the territory can influence the entire nation. This is the reason why Detroit’s Big Three is placing big bets in the Big Apple. “There’s always a chance that someone can create some momentum from the show that can help sales,” said Tom Libby, an industry analyst for the Power Information Network. Erich Merkle, an analyst with IRN Inc. which is an automotive consulting company, added, “There’s a huge amount of media attention in New York and from there, the country is addressed.”

The March sales reports say it all - the Big Three’s sales are rather slumping. Compared with last year’s March reports, Chrysler and GM sales dropped four percent while Ford’s declined by nine percent. Hence, the road to recovery is anchored on building new vehicles that purchasers could not reject.

The Chrysler Group has debuted two models: the redesigned 2008 Jeep Liberty and refreshed 2008 Grand Cherokee and these are the brand’s two hot selling vehicles. “We sell about 20 percent of Jeeps in the Northeast,” said John Plecha, the director of Jeep marketing. Plecha said Jeep does not want to shun the future women buyers, but the brand still hopes that the Liberty appeals to more customers in general.

Jesse Toprak, a senior analyst for Edmunds.com, said that the Liberty may run into some problems. “The compact SUV market is getting much tougher to compete in because so many automakers are providing models.”

Jeep’s other vehicles - such as the Patriot and Compass - may also hurt the new Liberty, said Merkle. It will compete too closely with other Jeeps in the same price range, he said. “It’s not that I don’t like the product,” Merkle said, “but there’s too much internal competition.”

Ford has also introduced a new SUV in Flex. The offering of the automaker is to deliver something original to aficionados. Based on the Ford Fairlane concept, the Flex is a calculated risk, Libby said. “This is a progressive move,” Libby said. “Ford really needs this to work. They believe they can fill that part of the market with a large crossover.”

“That’s one of the most critical launches they’ll have,” added Merkle. “The crossover SUV segment has been growing by leaps and bounds. It’s displaced the SUV as we know it.”

While Chrysler and Ford struggle, GM seems to be successful in stepping on the brakes to stop sales declines. It appears that the automaker is making an obvious progress. GM has released the Super series, performance versions of the Lucerne and redesigned LaCrosse to breathe new life.

“They can’t wait for all of the loyal Buick buyers to die off,” said Toprak. “The Super designation is part of that effort. Will it work? It’s too early too tell.” In regard to the minicars, Toprak hopes the General brings them to the United States.



the big bet
Online Betting UK asked:


West Ham travel across London to the cauldron of Stamford Bridge today and have little chance of defying their 12/1 odds to beat Chelsea. Since West Ham’s re-promotion to the top flight in 2005/06, Chelsea have won all six league meetings between the sides and are 1/4 with BetUK to win again today.

Visit Betuk.com for more details.

With just four goals in six away games under former Chelsea player turned West Ham manager Gianfranco Zola, coupled with Chelsea’s defensive record against non-big four sides, and the chances of a home shut out look likely.

Chelsea to win to 1-0 or 2-0 at 6/1 and 5/1 respectively are therefore tempting scorelines to bet on with BetUK.

It is also important to recognise the importance of Didier Drogba to the Chelsea team at home. His physical presence is crucial in breaking down sides who congest their back line to counter the Blues fluid passing, and after bagging one from off the bench in mid-week, the Ivorian is good value at 7/2 to bag the first goal with BetUK.

There could be value in betting on West Ham to score first in tonight’s game against Spurs at Upton Park. Tottenham have conceded first in six of their seven away trips and five of eight games at White Hart Lane this season - one of the worst records in the Premier League.

By contrast, West Ham are far better at scoring first, having done so in four of seven home matches. Those stats indicate a touch of value about the even money price on the hosts scoring the first goal of the game with BetUK.



the big bet
Online Betting UK asked:


As the news spread, punters made a dash for their computers to get their bets in with their online sports books. Word was out that the financially troubled Weymouth Football Club was going to field their youth team against Rushden & Diamonds.

It’s being reported that more than £1 million was paid out after heavy betting action came in on Weymouth losing this match…and lose it they did. The rumour was in fact true and the home side cashed big tickets in one of the largest non-league football betting coups.

It all started when the entire team made the decision to go on strike due to not being paid so far this season and that there wouldn’t be any medical insurance for the match. That resulted in the club being forced to start the Weymouth teenage team.

Bookmakers didn’t know what to make of the sudden spike in volume for what would normally be a relatively obscure betting event. They immediately were forced to cut the odds as the money poured in and some even suspended the betting entirely.

Punters were said to be racing from one bookmaker to another and getting all they could down at their online bookmakers as word of the strike leaked out.

The obvious thought was that a team of 17 year olds would have no chance. And that proved to be right as they were drubbed 9-0 and all those who wagered against Weymouth cashed their tickets.

One bookmaker said “Normally £30,000 to £40,000 would be paid out on a match like this across the whole industry. But we paid out in the region of £100,000 and we are 20 per cent of the industry.”

Steve Palmer, deputy sports editor at the Racing Post, said that the match had become “the centre of the betting universe” before the game.

“Nonleague football is one of the few sports where punters can get an edge on the bookmakers,” he said. “They can have superior knowledge and the bookmakers can get caught with their trousers down.”

Visit Sports Betting for more details about online sports betting and many more.



the big bet
Free Bets asked:


England v Portugal Preview

Although England don’t have a good record against the Portuguese, Sporting Index have still got them as favourites to win by 0.3 to 0.5 goals on their “Supremacy” market. This is influenced by the fact that Portugal are missing both Deco and Costinha through suspension. However, Big Phil has proven to be Sven’s nemesis twice before in the big competitions. He managed to beat England with 10 men in Shizuoka in 2002 when Ronaldinho was sent off. Two years later he successfully changed formation in Lisbon after Rooney was forced off through injury. With the influential Figo available, and Ronaldo looking likely to figure, Scolari could dash English hopes for a third successive tournament.

On top of this, Scolari has never lost a World Cup match. In fact, the 11 straight victories he has enjoyed with Brazil in 2002 and now Portugal is a record. His current team has also not lost a match (competitive or friendly) since the Euro 2004 final. On the other hand, England are still unbeaten in Germany. Although Sven’s team have only scored five goals so far, Portugal have only managed six. On the back of this, and the other low-scoring matches in this round, Sporting Index predict a total of just 2.1 to 2.3 goals will be scored in 90 minutes.

So in this battle of wits between the Swedish iceman and Big Phil, formation will be key. In the Ecuador match, Carrick made more passes than any other England player, (66 in total, 57 successful). He also spent significantly longer on the ball (196.9 seconds) than anyone else - Ashley Cole is in second place with 156 seconds. However, Carrick didn’t make a single tackle (Terry topped that list, with 5). In fact, England’s three central midfielders only made one between them.



the big bet
Online Betting UK asked:


With Liverpool’s Steven Gerrard yesterday confirmed as another big-name absentee from the England squad for Wednesday’s tough international friendly against Germany things are looking pretty bleak for the Three Lions.

But it is defensively that manager Fabio Capello is really feeling the pinch with skipper John Terry rated only 50-50 to start because of a foot injury. Rio Ferdinand, Wes Brown and Ashley Cole are already sidelined so if Terry misses out, Capello will start without his entire preferred back four against a side who reached the final of Euro 2008 and the semi-finals of the 2006 World Cup.

I’m afraid to say this one looks like going Germany’s way! Taking BetUK’s 11/10 on Germany is the value bet to make here.

BetUK.com is your online gaming site for betting on sports, poker and casino. BetUK.com is the foremost online sports betting line, bookmaker site in UK. BetUK.com offers online betting on casino games; online games; and sports betting odds, betting sports such as football betting, tennis betting, baseball betting, rugby betting, greyhounds betting, golf betting and horse racing. It is a great source for online sports betting UK.

Sunday’s live game on Sky (4pm K/O) sees Manchester City travel to this season’s surprise package - Hull. From a psychological point of view Hull have a distinct advantage, because they were preparing for a dogfight from the moment promotion to the Premier League was won. A run of three straight defeats is disappointing for them - but mentally the players have always expected that type of run of results. The same cannot be said for City’s players, who appear ill-equipped for a trip to an unwelcoming venue to face physical, resilient hosts, as awaits them here.

Taking all factors into account we make Hull narrow favourites - which is why the 17/10 available on BetUK is terrific value. Man City are an implausibly short 7/5, with the draw at 9/4 so the the price on the hosts looks too good to miss.

An even better bet than a home victory, however, is over 2.5 goals. Such an outcome has been a consistent feature of games involving these two sides this season - 20 of 24 relevant fixtures (10 out of 12 games for both Hull and Man City) have had three goals or more this season, making the price of 4/5 on overs tremendous value. Even looking solely at Hull’s home games and Man City’ss away games, the stats stand up: four of Hull’s six fixtures at the KC Stadium and four of City’s six games on the road have had over 2.5 goals.